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Nov 5, 2012
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it's swimming to china, to india, to brazil, to turkey. the united states will do just fine in the 21st century but so will a host of developing countries that have been behind the west for many years. and as a consequence the 21st century will not be an american century. it will not be a chinese century, and nations into, in 18th century. it will be no one's world. it would be a world that for the first time in history will be integrated and globalized, smudged together, to use a technical term, but without the guardianship provided by the western anchor. what i'd like to do in the next 15 minutes or so is put some flesh on the bones, tell you i think we are at the cusp of that historical intersection. and then end i say a few things about what we as americans should do about it. that the pendulum is swinging and power diffusing is, in my mind, unstoppable. and i'll just try to out a few facts and figures, and i'm drawing mainly on projections from the world bank, the imf, the international monetary fund, and from goldman sachs. goldman s
it's swimming to china, to india, to brazil, to turkey. the united states will do just fine in the 21st century but so will a host of developing countries that have been behind the west for many years. and as a consequence the 21st century will not be an american century. it will not be a chinese century, and nations into, in 18th century. it will be no one's world. it would be a world that for the first time in history will be integrated and globalized, smudged together, to use a technical...
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Nov 24, 2012
11/12
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the places that are conduits and where india has transformed itself from a city that is a synonym of poverty to a place of opportunity. this is something of a paradox. we live in an age in which distance is dead and every one of us could telecommute into whatever business employs us. occupying and, living in whatever appeals to us, and yet in so many ways and cases, we choose the urban life. we choose the inconveniences and the high cost of living in urban areas despite the fact that 20 years ago it was predicted that all this new technology would make cities obsolete. yet, google, which of all the companies in the world, with a few? rebuild the google collects. silicon valley. the most famous geographic cluster in the world is also the industry that is the most technologically savvy. why is it that all of this new technology, far from making contact in the city, seems to be hyper charging the city? this relatively rosy view is very unlike the new york of my youth. i was born in manhattan in 1967. i say that rarely in the boston public library, but i was. these are two images from my
the places that are conduits and where india has transformed itself from a city that is a synonym of poverty to a place of opportunity. this is something of a paradox. we live in an age in which distance is dead and every one of us could telecommute into whatever business employs us. occupying and, living in whatever appeals to us, and yet in so many ways and cases, we choose the urban life. we choose the inconveniences and the high cost of living in urban areas despite the fact that 20 years...
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Nov 12, 2012
11/12
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will be 18 and india in india will be 11. does it really worthwhile numbers to keep in our minds as we talk about u.s. competitiveness in the u.s. economy because we are entering this entirely new era, where the u.s. is going to be a big player in the world economy, but no longer is preeminent, the very largest one, and i think that brings real challenges and requires a whole new way of thinking. so my opening remarks, steve introduced quite likely as a guy who i hope getting cases of champagne and bouquets of flowers from the white house because uncertain readings you could say he is the guy who got the president reelected. that means, i believe, he has great insight into what obama's second term economic policies will be, and the big that the question on the agenda, which i think certainly will have tremendous bearing on the u.s., on the u.s. domestic economy and therefore u.s. global competitiveness is the fiscal cliff. so, advising the president to just say no. what is the president going to do? >> let me get my phone out
will be 18 and india in india will be 11. does it really worthwhile numbers to keep in our minds as we talk about u.s. competitiveness in the u.s. economy because we are entering this entirely new era, where the u.s. is going to be a big player in the world economy, but no longer is preeminent, the very largest one, and i think that brings real challenges and requires a whole new way of thinking. so my opening remarks, steve introduced quite likely as a guy who i hope getting cases of champagne...
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Nov 10, 2012
11/12
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recently we have seen the india pakistan relations have gotten better. perhaps significantly better and i would be curious as how you would see that warming in the relationship whether we should see this as a temporary tactical shift that will revert back to reform or something more than that? >> thank you and thank you to the world affairs counsel for letting me be part of this panel and part of this group. before looking at the regional i would like to make a couple of general comments. i think as steve said, pakistan is important and it's obviously important because of its size and it is a capable state. i'm not sure i would agree with ambassador munter that isn't is in sort of a stagnant period. i think in fact pakistan is going through a rather wrenching process and it's an important time to see which way the process moves. it is on the one hand, it's a country that i still believe the majority of people want a peaceful, stable, developed country where people have opportunities and the government is run has run transparently with some responsibility
recently we have seen the india pakistan relations have gotten better. perhaps significantly better and i would be curious as how you would see that warming in the relationship whether we should see this as a temporary tactical shift that will revert back to reform or something more than that? >> thank you and thank you to the world affairs counsel for letting me be part of this panel and part of this group. before looking at the regional i would like to make a couple of general comments....
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Nov 10, 2012
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in india, india is almost always cited as a driver for much of what pakistan does. recently we have seen that the india pakistan with collations have gone a little bit better. we will revert back to the historic form or something more than that. >> thank you. it's a great way to be part of this. it is great to be part of this group. i would like to make a couple of comments. as steve said, pakistan is important because of the size. and also because of the location. i am not sure i would agree with ambassador cameron munter. i think we are going through a heart wrenching process and it is an important time to see which way that process moves. on the one hand, it is a country where i still believe that the majority of people want this. it is a developed country where people have a sense of justice. it is not that different. but i also think that there are pressures which wants to put it in a direction of extremism. for all of those things, justice, development, and a number of those things. it is actually a moment of great tension within pakistan. it is a moment that
in india, india is almost always cited as a driver for much of what pakistan does. recently we have seen that the india pakistan with collations have gone a little bit better. we will revert back to the historic form or something more than that. >> thank you. it's a great way to be part of this. it is great to be part of this group. i would like to make a couple of comments. as steve said, pakistan is important because of the size. and also because of the location. i am not sure i would...
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Nov 25, 2012
11/12
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because, in fact, the future of india is not made in villages which too often remain mired in the poverty that has plagued most of humanity throughout almost all of its existence. it is the cities, it is bangalore, mumbai, it is delhi that are the places that are the pathways out of poverty into prosperity. they are the places that are the conduits, the channels across civilizations and continents and the place where india's transforming itself from a place that was practically a synonym for poverty and deprivation to a place that is bubbling with opportunity. now, in some success -- in some sense, it's something of a paradox. distance is dead, every single one of us could just telecommute in to whatever, you know, whatever business employs us. occupying in whatever spot appeals to our biofill ya, and yet in so many cases we choose urban life. we choose the inconveniences, the high cost of living in urban areas despite the fact that all this new technology would make cities obsolete, it was predicted, and yet bag google wt do they do? they build the google plex so that their workers can b
because, in fact, the future of india is not made in villages which too often remain mired in the poverty that has plagued most of humanity throughout almost all of its existence. it is the cities, it is bangalore, mumbai, it is delhi that are the places that are the pathways out of poverty into prosperity. they are the places that are the conduits, the channels across civilizations and continents and the place where india's transforming itself from a place that was practically a synonym for...
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Nov 22, 2012
11/12
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of 60, let's just send them someplace else and after all, it's less expensive to live in places like india where the stars in the movie end up gone. i am here today to talk about an alternative to either euthanasia or outsourcing, what soon will be a quarter of the population, and argue that the solution to much ails us as individuals in a society lays in rethinking the map of life, the map of life that was in many ways set up in three score and 10, which seems like a longer lives of the past century but is inadequate to the five score lifespans that more and more people will be living in the 21st century. half the kids born since 2000 the developed world are projected to see their 100th birthday so we can't just fold, spindle, made late stretch and extend this life course that really was set up for a very different arc of life to one that is really, has an extra decibel point, an extra zero to it. so i think what is happening, to really cut to the essence of what i'm saying today is that the nature of life is under every bed a radical transformation as the numbers are. all those numbers t
of 60, let's just send them someplace else and after all, it's less expensive to live in places like india where the stars in the movie end up gone. i am here today to talk about an alternative to either euthanasia or outsourcing, what soon will be a quarter of the population, and argue that the solution to much ails us as individuals in a society lays in rethinking the map of life, the map of life that was in many ways set up in three score and 10, which seems like a longer lives of the past...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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[inaudible] last week by bsa,, india of brazil and south africa came out in support of the solution. >> we have been very clear with our partners and with allies around the world that we intend to vote no, that we believe this is a mistake and make there is to try to get the parties back to the table more difficult. >> would it have any impact on the bilateral ties with those countries? >> this is a sovereign decision for each country to make. we are clear about where we stand and we are also very clear about our concerns about the impact on the peace process. we have many countries around the world outside of the region had come to say to us do something and we are saying that this could make it more difficult. >> what is your understanding of what the palestinians are going to do following this last -- you said one more time? >> i'm going to let the palestinians speak for themselves. >> let me tell you what the palestinians said after the meeting and that is that they're going to go ahead with this. you have the decade -- deputy secretary of state along with david hale who's been t
[inaudible] last week by bsa,, india of brazil and south africa came out in support of the solution. >> we have been very clear with our partners and with allies around the world that we intend to vote no, that we believe this is a mistake and make there is to try to get the parties back to the table more difficult. >> would it have any impact on the bilateral ties with those countries? >> this is a sovereign decision for each country to make. we are clear about where we stand...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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[inaudible] -- last week, india, brazil, south africa came out in support of the resolution. >> we've been very clear with our partners and allies around the world that we in tend to vote now, that we think this is a mistake and make our effort to try to get the party back to the table more difficult. obviously every country will make their own decision. >> to deputy prints get any understanding -- >> this is sovereign decision to make based on the policy we are very clear about where we stand our also been very clear about her concerns about the peace process. many countries around the world outside of the region come to us if they do something and were saying this could make it more difficult. >> and deputy secretary burns -- with your understand of what the palestinians who do following this last issue what you said one more time? >> well, i'm going to let the palestinians speak for themselves in terms of -- >> okay, let me tell you what the palestinians after the meeting and that if they are going ahead with this. sonata secretary of state visit abbas himself in ramallah. he went
[inaudible] -- last week, india, brazil, south africa came out in support of the resolution. >> we've been very clear with our partners and allies around the world that we in tend to vote now, that we think this is a mistake and make our effort to try to get the party back to the table more difficult. obviously every country will make their own decision. >> to deputy prints get any understanding -- >> this is sovereign decision to make based on the policy we are very clear...
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Nov 22, 2012
11/12
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he tells her, and india we have an expression that everything works out in the end so but hasn't worked out it's not yet the end. [laughter] >> thanks to marc freedman our speaker tonight, author of "the big shift" for his comments and we also thank our audience here as well as those listening to the recording. and now this meeting of the commonwealth club of california commemorating its 109th year of enlightened discussion is adjourned. thank you, marc. >> the name of this place still resonates with a shuddering and hearts of the american people. what did any other name connected to civil works of lincoln, gettysburg reverberates. america's retain knowledge that what happened here was the crux of our terrible national trial and even americans who went through precisely what transpired on the stilts and all the glory and tragedy we associate with the civil war beside most palpably, most indelibly seared. >> according to a panel of sports medicine professionals, young kids to play football face serious safety risk turtlenecks from the aspen institute, dr. cantu, neurosurgeon and author c
he tells her, and india we have an expression that everything works out in the end so but hasn't worked out it's not yet the end. [laughter] >> thanks to marc freedman our speaker tonight, author of "the big shift" for his comments and we also thank our audience here as well as those listening to the recording. and now this meeting of the commonwealth club of california commemorating its 109th year of enlightened discussion is adjourned. thank you, marc. >> the name of...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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deficit and needs to go further into debt in order to push all the money out into the economy that is in india, because everyone is afraid to stand. i'd just like to point out the great depression went on for more than 10 years after this rooseveltian seamers started but if you count the world war ii as a statement, which even barack obama's economic adviser, christina romer has refuted the idea that the war actually ended the depression, you know, none of that, the actual original failure of keynesian was during the depression and yet nobody saw that way. but if we're going to take that serious, take the idea that taking up slack in demand is what we need to do, how much do we need to spend? what is the dollar figure that government needs to put out? >> are you asking? >> yeah. >> there's a lot of debate about this. it's hard to come with a precise figure because we are human beings and we do the best -- >> the keynesians are the ones who believe that everything is trackable to these complex mathematical formulas with all kinds of greek letters and stuff. [inaudible] >> there was internal deb
deficit and needs to go further into debt in order to push all the money out into the economy that is in india, because everyone is afraid to stand. i'd just like to point out the great depression went on for more than 10 years after this rooseveltian seamers started but if you count the world war ii as a statement, which even barack obama's economic adviser, christina romer has refuted the idea that the war actually ended the depression, you know, none of that, the actual original failure of...
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Nov 3, 2012
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in five years, india will be producing five times as many college graduates as the united states. these are the facts that drive the decisions we must make as we position penn state to succeed in the future. part of that strategic planning requires getting out and staying out in front of the information technology revolution, which has been among the most significant drivers of educational change in the last 15-20 years. it's also been like a run away train. one response to the higher education funding crisis has been increased appeals, especially from legislatures and business leaders for higher education to drastically increase online education. the hope is that more students receive college degrees faster and at less cost. in fact, research shows, done appropriately, the application of technologies can both improve learning outcomes and decrease the costs of delivering that education. so far, big safings have proven allusive. nonetheless, massive, open online courses are testing the market. dozens of universities including mitt, harvard, princeton and stanford offer these class
in five years, india will be producing five times as many college graduates as the united states. these are the facts that drive the decisions we must make as we position penn state to succeed in the future. part of that strategic planning requires getting out and staying out in front of the information technology revolution, which has been among the most significant drivers of educational change in the last 15-20 years. it's also been like a run away train. one response to the higher education...
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Nov 6, 2012
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we have to understand that it's not true for muslims, but i could talk to you about india in the same way. we have to understand that for muslims, is leam is not just a question of blee, but it's a question of belonging and being the national. what do i mean by that? it's not because as i hear everywhere they practice politics and religion looking at it wrong. the building of the nation states, even by the elites, is leam is embedded nation building of the state. what do i mean by that? it's creating connection between being the national and being the citizen. this didn't come from islamists. what is frame work that was already there. they were there, major debating in tunisia how to remove laws that function people who would say something insulting against the prospect of the religion. this was already there under the regime, and so, again, we have to be very careful, and how we access these events in a more, i'd say, complex picture where instead of looking at islamists, representing secular space, we have to take into account what are the situation of the citizens? what is the situ
we have to understand that it's not true for muslims, but i could talk to you about india in the same way. we have to understand that for muslims, is leam is not just a question of blee, but it's a question of belonging and being the national. what do i mean by that? it's not because as i hear everywhere they practice politics and religion looking at it wrong. the building of the nation states, even by the elites, is leam is embedded nation building of the state. what do i mean by that? it's...
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Nov 18, 2012
11/12
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for breaking a law in the india. those are the kind of stories we write about. >> how come we haven't heard about that before? >> some of them you have heard. one the case of john and judy. they were selling bun anies in missouri. they fined $95,000 for having a wrong permit. the government said you can pay on the website. if you don't pay in thirty days you'll owe $3.1 billion. it's the kind of stuff the government is doing to bully people, and we frankly think it needs to stop. they're doing the same with confiscating people's land and saying you can't build on it because it's a wetland. even though there isn't a pond or stream on the land. >> as a senator, what can you do to change policy? >> we look to some of the things, we now conducted legislation to try to fix them. on the wetlands, we say, the clean water act says you can't discharge pollutants in to navigable water. your background is not a 1/2 gaunt water and dirt is not a pollutant. we try to redefine the clean water act. a woman in southern mississippi g
for breaking a law in the india. those are the kind of stories we write about. >> how come we haven't heard about that before? >> some of them you have heard. one the case of john and judy. they were selling bun anies in missouri. they fined $95,000 for having a wrong permit. the government said you can pay on the website. if you don't pay in thirty days you'll owe $3.1 billion. it's the kind of stuff the government is doing to bully people, and we frankly think it needs to stop....
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Nov 26, 2012
11/12
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. >> you talked about foreign competition in china, india, those places kind of getting ahead of us. is the model that we have in place for teaching our kids that was built in the agricultural age really sufficient for the information age? is the curriculum we have in place sufficient to allow them to be inknowers and entrepreneurs? >> now, that's a softball question. [laughter] no, but realistically, you know, i'm trying not to jump out of my shoes on that. look, no. i mean, when we built this educational system, the '93 model, you know, we ended it artificially because of the compromise with farmers so kids could get out of school in enough time to work in farming. summers were off so they could work on the farm. that was why we had that agricultural schedule. when we put that system in place, there were no cars, certainly no planes, there weren't even electric lights. and computers? okay, well, on and on and on. and can the bottom line is we have -- and the bottom line is we have this overallegiance to that system based on nostalgia, you know? so many people said my mama went to t
. >> you talked about foreign competition in china, india, those places kind of getting ahead of us. is the model that we have in place for teaching our kids that was built in the agricultural age really sufficient for the information age? is the curriculum we have in place sufficient to allow them to be inknowers and entrepreneurs? >> now, that's a softball question. [laughter] no, but realistically, you know, i'm trying not to jump out of my shoes on that. look, no. i mean, when...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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the russians answer to the f-35 is the t-50 and the russians are selling the t-50 to india. russia doesn't want to renew the 1990cto, the cooperative threat reduction program, an american financed program. they don't trust america anymore saying america shouldn't tell other countries what their moral values should be when newspaper stories prove we're lacking miranda rule values here in the united states. we have a real big problem going on worldwide, and we just have to completely stop and get into peace negotiations and talk about whose trading partners with who. >> the bills were reform, and none of those directly affect foreign policy because, i believe, that we need to clean house and tend to our own problems before we stick our nose into other people's problems, and the only thick that directly affects the war in syria is that you would have to obey the constitution as originally intended and amended and require congress to declare war on any country where we commit troops. >> getting back to the issue of jobs, f-35, and senator sanders talking about the jobs program -
the russians answer to the f-35 is the t-50 and the russians are selling the t-50 to india. russia doesn't want to renew the 1990cto, the cooperative threat reduction program, an american financed program. they don't trust america anymore saying america shouldn't tell other countries what their moral values should be when newspaper stories prove we're lacking miranda rule values here in the united states. we have a real big problem going on worldwide, and we just have to completely stop and get...
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Nov 19, 2012
11/12
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new delhi and working towards a resolution of that relationship between pakistan and afghanistan and india, in ways that might reassure pakistan? >> senator, at this point i don't have insight into what our government is doing to try to work very delicate relationship between pakistan and 80. i'm certainly aware that is going to be critical to regional stability in the long-term and our success in afghanistan, and if confirmed i suspect i will be involved in the issue and have an opportunity to provide military advice as it is for the leadership works to the diplomatic piece. >> speak to the announcement that pakistan is going to release several low-level taliban prisoners at the request of the afghan government. do you think it does suggest we could work towards a negotiated settlement, or do you think that there's just really no path to do between afghan government and the taliban without pakistan's? >> senator, i do know that i would actually support any initiative that would bring a political resolution to the conflict in afghanistan, and i know ambassador grossman, our special represe
new delhi and working towards a resolution of that relationship between pakistan and afghanistan and india, in ways that might reassure pakistan? >> senator, at this point i don't have insight into what our government is doing to try to work very delicate relationship between pakistan and 80. i'm certainly aware that is going to be critical to regional stability in the long-term and our success in afghanistan, and if confirmed i suspect i will be involved in the issue and have an...